Betting Lines
| Spread | PROV -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | PROV -305 HALL +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PROV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | PROV -8.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PROV -6.7 (-10.7) | 138.0 (-20.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PROV -6.2 (-10.2) | 141.0 (-23.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PROV -5.5 (-9.5) | 138.9 (-20.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PROV -6.1 (-10.1) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | HALL 87 – 80 PROV |
| Dec 19, 2025 | HALL 72 – 67 PROV |
| Jan 29, 2025 | PROV 69 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PROV 91 – 85 HALL |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PROV 67 – 63 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PROV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-5 | 17-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#57) | 5.7 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#24) | 0.74 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#21) | 1.09 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#18) | 0.545 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PROV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 39.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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