Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -213 UAB +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -8.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -5.7 (+0.3) | 138.2 (+7.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -4.8 (+1.2) | 137.7 (+8.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -5.9 (+0.1) | 137.3 (+8.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -6.0 (-0.0) | 138.6 (+7.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLT 83 – 78 UAB |
| Mar 5, 2026 | UAB 80 – 74 CLT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UAB 96 – 78 CLT |
| Mar 4, 2023 | UAB 93 – 91 CLT |
| Dec 23, 2022 | UAB 76 – 68 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#106) | 0.1 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#109) | 0.88 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#114) | 0.77 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#86) | 0.552 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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