Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -225 CLT +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -4.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -3.6 (-8.6) | 144.5 (+16.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -3.2 (-8.2) | 143.9 (+17.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -3.4 (-8.4) | 142.8 (+18.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -3.7 (-8.7) | 143.5 (+17.5) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UAB 80 – 74 CLT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UAB 96 – 78 CLT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CLT 76 – 70 UAB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | UAB 93 – 91 CLT |
| Dec 23, 2022 | UAB 76 – 68 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 10-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | -0.7 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#114) | -0.15 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#113) | -0.30 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#138) | 0.496 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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