Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +2 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -2.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+45.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -1.3 (-0.7) | 139.9 (+44.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -2.2 (+0.2) | 132.9 (+51.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -1.4 (-0.6) | 138.7 (+45.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -1.1 (-0.9) | 142.1 (+41.9) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLT 83 – 78 UAB |
| Mar 5, 2026 | UAB 80 – 74 CLT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UAB 96 – 78 CLT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CLT 76 – 70 UAB |
| Dec 23, 2022 | UAB 76 – 68 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 17-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#112) | 9.5 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#122) | 1.40 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#117) | 1.85 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#144) | 0.555 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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