Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -1200 CLT +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +18 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -10.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -10.3 (+7.7) | 150.4 (+23.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -8.6 (+9.4) | 151.3 (+22.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -9.3 (+8.7) | 154.0 (+20.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -10.1 (+7.9) | 153.9 (+20.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLT 83 – 78 UAB |
| Mar 5, 2026 | UAB 80 – 74 CLT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CLT 76 – 70 UAB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | UAB 93 – 91 CLT |
| Dec 23, 2022 | UAB 76 – 68 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#119) | -4.7 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#167) | -1.09 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#154) | -1.23 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#155) | 0.446 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 34.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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