Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -650 CLT +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -8.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -7.7 (+0.3) | 140.0 (+4.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -6.1 (+1.9) | 142.8 (+1.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -6.2 (+1.8) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -5.4 (+2.6) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLT 83 – 78 UAB |
| Mar 5, 2026 | UAB 80 – 74 CLT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UAB 96 – 78 CLT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CLT 76 – 70 UAB |
| Mar 4, 2023 | UAB 93 – 91 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#44) | 6.5 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#67) | 1.57 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#64) | 1.69 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#63) | 0.554 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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