Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -115 SBU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +4 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -1.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-36.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -1.2 (+2.8) | 137.4 (-33.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -1.6 (+2.4) | 138.2 (-34.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.3 (+2.7) | 138.3 (-34.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -1.4 (+2.6) | 139.4 (-35.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUQ 78 – 73 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SBU 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#102) | 7.5 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#107) | 0.77 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#104) | 0.90 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#76) | 0.542 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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