Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -130 DUQ +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -0.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -0.9 (-5.9) | 155.4 (-4.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -2.5 (-7.5) | 154.1 (-3.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -1.4 (-6.4) | 153.7 (-2.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.6 (-5.6) | 154.7 (-3.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | SBU 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | DUQ 70 – 60 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#141) | 3.7 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#135) | 0.36 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#122) | 0.49 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#89) | 0.528 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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