Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -138 SBU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -0.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -1.0 (+9.0) | 134.7 (-4.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -0.6 (+9.4) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -0.9 (+9.1) | 134.7 (-4.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.1 (+8.9) | 135.5 (-5.5) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUQ 78 – 73 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SBU 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#94) | 6.6 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#68) | 1.03 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#75) | 1.08 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#38) | 0.547 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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