Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -162 SBU +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +8 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -5.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -3.5 (-11.5) | 153.4 (+12.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -3.2 (-11.2) | 151.9 (+14.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -4.1 (-12.1) | 151.7 (+14.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -4.4 (-12.4) | 152.6 (+13.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUQ 78 – 73 SBU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | DUQ 70 – 60 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#129) | 0.5 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#176) | 0.26 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#168) | 0.40 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#156) | 0.528 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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