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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
17–0 on winners
spread MAE 5.9
17 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wake Forest
@
North Carolina
|
+9.8 | 153.1 | 83% | 64–85 | ✓ |
Lehigh
@
Colgate
|
+10.1 | 137.8 | 83% | 57–60 | ✓ |
Northwestern State
@
SE Louisiana
|
+3.8 | 135.9 | 64% | 62–71 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
-3.2 | 134.3 | 38% | 62–61 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
Incarnate Word
|
-3.9 | 149.7 | 35% | 78–74 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
Lamar
|
+4.9 | 148.2 | 71% | 65–76 | ✓ |
New Orleans
@
Houston Christian
|
+1.3 | 153.5 | 59% | 80–88 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Alcorn State
|
+0.8 | 144.1 | 58% | 78–90 | ✓ |
Florida A&M
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-6.0 | 133.7 | 17% | 81–70 | ✓ |
Cincinnati
@
Kansas
|
+4.1 | 145.0 | 76% | 69–74 | ✓ |
Hofstra
@
Stony Brook
|
-3.6 | 143.2 | 42% | 80–74 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Jackson State
|
+4.1 | 140.8 | 69% | 64–73 | ✓ |
Weber State
@
Montana
|
+1.0 | 141.3 | 58% | 62–77 | ✓ |
Idaho State
@
Montana State
|
+5.9 | 136.0 | 74% | 70–77 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
+1.4 | 157.7 | 61% | 72–76 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
La Salle
|
-11.5 | 140.1 | 17% | 66–54 | ✓ |
Butler
@
Georgetown
|
-5.0 | 149.6 | 30% | 90–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.