Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -225 TXSO +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -5.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -4.1 (+4.9) | 140.8 (-3.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -3.5 (+5.5) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -3.5 (+5.5) | 135.1 (+1.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -3.6 (+5.4) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#272) | -7.0 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#193) | -1.33 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#228) | -2.18 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#183) | 0.454 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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