Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -250 NWST +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -8.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -3.5 (+5.5) | 135.2 (-2.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -3.8 (+5.2) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -4.1 (+4.9) | 135.7 (-2.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -5.3 (+3.7) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#302) | -13.0 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#315) | -2.17 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#318) | -2.43 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#288) | 0.391 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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