I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Southland Conference · University Center · December 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SELA -7.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money SELA -340 / NWST +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total SELA win
Actual NWST +8 144 Lost
Massey SELA -10.2 (-18.2) — —
Massey Totals — 141.6 (+2.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SELA -6.5 (-14.5) 132.8 (+11.2) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SELA -7.1 (-15.1) 132.0 (+12.0) 78% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SELA -7.6 (-15.6) 135.8 (+8.2) 77% ✗
Baseline ML SELA -6.9 (-14.9) 135.9 (+8.1) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 NWST 69 – 66 SELA
Feb 25, 2025 NWST 72 – 69 SELA
Jan 18, 2025 SELA 65 – 64 NWST
Feb 10, 2024 SELA 69 – 59 NWST
Jan 23, 2024 SELA 71 – 62 NWST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SELA NWST
Overall 9-22 10-22
Conference 6-16 8-14
Home 5-7 8-6
Away 2-15 2-15
Neutral 2-0 0-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak W1 L3
Avg Pts For 64.8 66.1
Avg Pts Against 71.3 72.9
Massey -6.6 (#271) -12.1 (#330)
Bradley-Terry -1.26 (#280) -3.33 (#350)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.14 (#297) -4.73 (#350)
RPI 0.436 (#284) 0.359 (#351)
Shooting & Four Factors SELA NWST
FG% 38.4% 41.7%
3PT% 24.9% 35.0%
REB / G 30.9 26.1
OREB / G 9.6 8.3
AST / TO 0.94 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.9% 48.5%
TOV% 18.7% 20.1%
ORB% 25.4% 24.8%
FT Rate 27.2% 30.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 59.2%
Opp TOV% 21.4% 16.8%
DRB% 72.3% 57.9%
Opp FT Rate 36.8% 31.8%

Game Analysis

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