Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -340 NWST +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -10.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -7.1 (-15.1) | 132.0 (+12.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -7.6 (-15.6) | 135.8 (+8.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -6.9 (-14.9) | 135.9 (+8.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -6.5 (-14.5) | 132.8 (+11.2) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 23, 2024 | SELA 71 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 8-14 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#271) | -12.1 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#280) | -3.33 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#297) | -4.73 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#284) | 0.359 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 24.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 26.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 57.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.8% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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