Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +110 SELA -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -2.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -3.0 (-7.0) | 136.1 (-8.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.6 (-7.4) | 134.6 (-6.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -3.2 (-6.8) | 137.3 (-9.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -2.9 (-7.1) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 23, 2024 | SELA 71 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#338) | -6.6 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#337) | -1.09 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#331) | -1.55 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#346) | 0.445 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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