Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -380 NWST +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -6.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -5.4 (-8.4) | 133.0 (+8.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -6.1 (-9.1) | 132.6 (+8.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -5.2 (-8.2) | 134.3 (+6.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -5.0 (-8.0) | 135.5 (+5.5) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 23, 2024 | SELA 71 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#180) | -4.5 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#179) | -0.82 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#197) | -0.84 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#179) | 0.470 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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