Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | NWST -112 SELA -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -1.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -0.5 (+2.5) | 131.1 (+3.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -0.2 (+2.8) | 131.3 (+3.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -0.9 (+2.1) | 128.5 (+6.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -0.5 (+2.5) | 129.9 (+5.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 23, 2024 | SELA 71 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 6-16 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#283) | -6.3 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#316) | -1.49 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#314) | -1.73 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#326) | 0.422 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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