Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -125 SELA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -0.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -0.9 (-1.9) | 134.9 (-5.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -0.7 (-1.7) | 134.8 (-5.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -0.9 (-1.9) | 135.7 (-6.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -0.3 (-1.3) | 136.1 (-7.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 23, 2024 | SELA 71 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#245) | -1.5 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#230) | -0.53 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#220) | -0.66 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#223) | 0.473 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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