Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UIW +125 NICH -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -3.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -3.2 (-0.8) | 150.7 (+1.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.9 (-0.1) | 149.7 (+2.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -3.7 (-0.3) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -3.5 (-0.5) | 148.2 (+3.8) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-14 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#331) | -4.1 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#329) | -0.74 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#335) | -1.12 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#345) | 0.468 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.