Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -125 NICH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -2.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -1.4 (-7.4) | 141.7 (+28.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -0.4 (-6.4) | 143.7 (+26.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -1.3 (-7.3) | 141.5 (+28.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -0.9 (-6.9) | 141.8 (+28.2) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
| Jan 23, 2024 | NICH 78 – 74 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#233) | -2.6 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#292) | -0.16 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#265) | -0.53 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#313) | 0.494 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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