Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -175 UIW +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -4.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -4.8 (-0.8) | 138.2 (+5.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -3.9 (+0.1) | 139.8 (+4.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -4.0 (-0.0) | 139.7 (+4.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -3.3 (+0.7) | 138.8 (+5.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
| Jan 23, 2024 | NICH 78 – 74 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#168) | -4.6 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#167) | -1.06 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#174) | -1.20 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#127) | 0.459 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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