Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -500 UIW +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +10 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -9.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.3 (+2.7) | 147.1 (+26.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -8.4 (+1.6) | 147.8 (+26.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -7.9 (+2.1) | 148.0 (+26.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -8.5 (+1.5) | 148.2 (+25.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Jan 23, 2024 | NICH 78 – 74 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-10 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#270) | -11.9 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#224) | -2.21 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#249) | -2.95 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#177) | 0.379 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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