Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -130 NICH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +8 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -3.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -2.0 (-10.0) | 147.2 (+26.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -2.2 (-10.2) | 144.2 (+29.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -2.0 (-10.0) | 145.8 (+28.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -2.1 (-10.1) | 148.7 (+25.3) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
| Jan 23, 2024 | NICH 78 – 74 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 12-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#244) | -5.6 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#295) | -0.87 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#292) | -1.23 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#310) | 0.472 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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