Betting Lines
| Spread | UNO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +120 UNO -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | HCU -2.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -1.3 (+6.7) | 153.5 (+14.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -1.6 (+6.4) | 149.4 (+18.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -1.2 (+6.8) | 151.9 (+16.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -0.2 (+7.8) | 154.4 (+13.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNO 73 – 60 HCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HCU 61 – 60 UNO |
| Dec 6, 2025 | HCU 85 – 76 UNO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HCU 81 – 68 UNO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HCU 86 – 76 UNO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-15 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#344) | -12.0 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#339) | -1.92 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#340) | -2.70 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#335) | 0.397 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 24.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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