Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | HCU -125 NOLA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -1.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -1.8 (+2.8) | 144.7 (-23.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -0.6 (+1.6) | 143.8 (-22.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -1.6 (+2.6) | 144.9 (-23.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -1.3 (+2.3) | 146.0 (-25.0) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NOLA 73 – 60 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2025 | HCU 85 – 76 NOLA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HCU 81 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HCU 86 – 76 NOLA |
| Feb 6, 2024 | NOLA 84 – 58 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 12-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#284) | -3.0 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#317) | -0.43 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#309) | -0.54 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#333) | 0.493 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 34.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.