You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Southland Conference · Lakefront Arena · February 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UNO -6.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Under
Money UNO -275 / HCU +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNO win
Actual UNO +26 142 Won
Massey UNO -3.4 (+22.6)
Massey Totals 158.7 (-16.7)
Bradley-Terry 65%
Weighted B-T 67%
Efficiency Plus ML UNO -3.2 (+22.8) 153.4 (-11.4) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML UNO -2.0 (+24.0) 153.6 (-11.6) 59%
Baseline ML UNO -1.9 (+24.1) 154.6 (-12.6) 65%
Baseline Plus ML UNO -2.7 (+23.3) 154.6 (-12.6) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 UNO 7360 HCU
Feb 14, 2026 HCU 6160 UNO
Dec 6, 2025 HCU 8576 UNO
Feb 8, 2025 HCU 8168 UNO
Jan 25, 2025 HCU 8676 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNO HCU
Overall 10-23 6-23
Conference 4-14 4-14
Home 7-6 5-8
Away 2-15 1-15
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 70.7 69.3
Avg Pts Against 81.6 84.8
Massey -14.2 (#345) -14.2 (#344)
Bradley-Terry -2.44 (#347) -2.43 (#346)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.19 (#347) -3.22 (#348)
RPI 0.382 (#351) 0.380 (#352)
Shooting & Four Factors UNO HCU
FG% 40.7% 42.5%
3PT% 33.4% 28.2%
REB / G 32.8 37.2
OREB / G 10.8 11.4
AST / TO 0.81 0.65
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.3% 46.2%
TOV% 17.6% 21.6%
ORB% 27.8% 29.7%
FT Rate 27.4% 21.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.2% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 13.6%
DRB% 65.7% 66.3%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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