Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | NOLA -275 HCU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -3.4 (+22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -2.7 (+23.3) | 154.6 (-12.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -3.2 (+22.8) | 153.4 (-11.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -2.0 (+24.0) | 153.6 (-11.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -1.9 (+24.1) | 154.6 (-12.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NOLA 73 – 60 HCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HCU 61 – 60 NOLA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | HCU 85 – 76 NOLA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HCU 81 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HCU 86 – 76 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 2-15 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#345) | -14.2 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#347) | -2.43 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#347) | -3.22 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#351) | 0.380 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.