Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | STBK +145 HOF -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -3.6 (-2.4) | 143.2 (+10.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -1.1 (-4.9) | 141.3 (+12.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -1.9 (-4.1) | 141.3 (+12.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -1.5 (-4.5) | 142.9 (+11.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#228) | 2.2 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#190) | 0.17 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#163) | 0.56 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#203) | 0.509 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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