Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -1600 STBK +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -12.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -10.7 (-15.7) | 136.3 (+18.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -9.8 (-14.8) | 136.7 (+18.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -10.3 (-15.3) | 135.3 (+19.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -10.9 (-15.9) | 135.9 (+19.1) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | HOF 72 – 71 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#189) | -11.5 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#186) | -2.10 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#184) | -2.70 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#141) | 0.419 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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