Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -800 STBK +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -11.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -11.3 (-2.3) | 139.3 (-14.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -12.6 (-3.6) | 136.9 (-11.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -11.5 (-2.5) | 136.8 (-11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -12.0 (-3.0) | 138.7 (-13.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | HOF 72 – 71 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#100) | -3.3 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#105) | -0.13 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#102) | -0.36 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#69) | 0.508 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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