In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Hofstra Pride
72 71
FINAL Conference
Stony Brook Seawolves
Coastal Athletic Association · David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex · February 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HOF -6.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money HOF -300 / STBK +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOF win
Actual HOF +1 143 Won
Massey HOF -8.0 (-7.0)
Massey Totals 145.1 (-2.1)
Bradley-Terry 71%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML HOF -8.0 (-7.0) 145.1 (-2.1) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML HOF -5.3 (-4.3) 143.8 (-0.8) 73%
Baseline ML HOF -4.9 (-3.9) 143.7 (-0.7) 72%
Baseline Plus ML HOF -5.4 (-4.4) 144.5 (-1.5) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 HOF 6758 STBK
Jan 16, 2026 STBK 7671 HOF
Feb 28, 2025 STBK 5956 HOF
Feb 8, 2025 STBK 8075 HOF
Mar 12, 2024 STBK 6359 HOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOF STBK
Overall 20-13 20-15
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 11-2 13-3
Away 5-9 4-11
Neutral 4-2 3-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.4 73.0
Avg Pts Against 69.1 73.0
Massey 1.6 (#142) -2.8 (#221)
Bradley-Terry 0.24 (#152) -0.02 (#178)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.58 (#135) 0.28 (#158)
RPI 0.513 (#152) 0.494 (#183)
Shooting & Four Factors HOF STBK
FG% 46.2% 42.8%
3PT% 35.9% 33.0%
REB / G 32.8 35.6
OREB / G 7.7 10.2
AST / TO 1.34 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.8% 49.0%
TOV% 16.5% 16.0%
ORB% 23.0% 27.8%
FT Rate 16.8% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 16.8%
DRB% 69.1% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 18.2%

Game Analysis

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