Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -300 STBK +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -8.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.4 (-4.4) | 144.5 (-1.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -8.0 (-7.0) | 145.1 (-2.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.3 (-4.3) | 143.8 (-0.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.9 (-3.9) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#142) | -2.8 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#152) | -0.02 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#135) | 0.28 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#152) | 0.494 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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