Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | STBK +245 HOF -305 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -9.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -8.0 (+13.0) | 132.2 (+14.8) | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -8.0 (+13.0) | 134.1 (+12.9) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -8.3 (+13.3) | 131.5 (+15.5) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -8.2 (+13.2) | 133.6 (+13.4) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | HOF 72 – 71 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#264) | 6.0 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#246) | 1.60 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#265) | 1.74 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#261) | 0.611 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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