Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -400 STBK +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -5.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -3.8 (-7.8) | 141.8 (-19.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -6.3 (-10.3) | 141.7 (-19.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -3.8 (-7.8) | 142.0 (-20.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.0 (-8.0) | 144.1 (-22.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | HOF 72 – 71 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#111) | -1.5 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#120) | 0.11 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#111) | 0.22 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#83) | 0.515 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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