Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | STBK +230 HOF -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -5.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -4.6 (+7.6) | 133.4 (-18.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -6.1 (+9.1) | 131.9 (-16.9) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -4.2 (+7.2) | 132.2 (-17.2) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.4 (+7.4) | 133.5 (-18.5) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | HOF 72 – 71 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#337) | -3.2 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#333) | -0.62 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#331) | -0.69 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#317) | 0.487 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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