Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN +130 BTLR -167 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +24 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -5.1 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -5.4 (-18.6) | 149.9 (+6.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -5.0 (-19.0) | 149.6 (+6.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -4.6 (-19.4) | 147.6 (+8.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -5.0 (-19.0) | 148.6 (+7.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2023 | BTLR 74 – 64 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-12 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#159) | 9.3 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#205) | 1.44 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#170) | 2.00 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#227) | 0.552 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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