Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -250 GTWN +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +13 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -9.3 (-22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -8.2 (-21.2) | 152.4 (-11.4) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -7.8 (-20.8) | 151.6 (-10.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -7.4 (-20.4) | 149.2 (-8.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -7.6 (-20.6) | 149.7 (-8.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
| Dec 19, 2023 | BTLR 74 – 64 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#56) | 4.6 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#64) | 0.90 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#62) | 1.38 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#84) | 0.522 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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