Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR -175 GTWN +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +11 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -4.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+43.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -5.1 (+5.9) | 139.5 (+43.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -4.9 (+6.1) | 141.6 (+41.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -5.2 (+5.8) | 139.1 (+43.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -5.2 (+5.8) | 139.5 (+43.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
| Dec 19, 2023 | BTLR 74 – 64 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#73) | 6.8 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#128) | 0.97 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#96) | 1.15 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.518 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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