Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -600 GTWN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -15.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -12.1 (-2.1) | 153.0 (-15.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -12.2 (-2.2) | 154.4 (-16.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -12.0 (-2.0) | 153.6 (-15.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -11.3 (-1.3) | 154.8 (-16.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-12 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#43) | -0.6 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#56) | -0.11 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#51) | 0.31 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#61) | 0.465 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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