Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN -170 BTLR +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -2.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -2.5 (+0.5) | 138.3 (+4.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -1.4 (+1.6) | 136.8 (+6.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -2.9 (+0.1) | 136.3 (+6.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -2.8 (+0.2) | 136.4 (+6.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
| Dec 19, 2023 | BTLR 74 – 64 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-5 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#88) | 7.3 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#99) | 0.40 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#99) | 1.05 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#135) | 0.504 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 11.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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