Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC +170 MCN -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -7.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -6.3 (+5.3) | 139.2 (-16.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -3.2 (+2.2) | 134.3 (-11.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -5.3 (+4.3) | 138.7 (-15.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -5.6 (+4.6) | 140.4 (-17.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 30-4 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 17-1 |
| Home | 13-2 | 18-0 |
| Away | 8-7 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#230) | 7.4 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#236) | 2.14 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#252) | 2.82 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#242) | 0.580 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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