Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -1000 AMCC +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -11.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -12.6 (+3.4) | 134.9 (-4.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -11.4 (+4.6) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -11.2 (+4.8) | 137.1 (-7.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -12.4 (+3.6) | 136.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MCN 62 – 61 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 10-2 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#70) | -0.4 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#78) | -0.38 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#81) | -0.39 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#45) | 0.496 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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