Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC +300 MCN -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -6.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -4.0 (+3.0) | 141.8 (+5.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -6.2 (+5.2) | 139.6 (+7.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -4.2 (+3.2) | 141.9 (+5.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -3.7 (+2.7) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MCN 62 – 61 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 19-1 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#149) | 10.4 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#184) | 1.30 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#169) | 1.70 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#175) | 0.570 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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