Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -1350 AMCC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -13.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -13.7 (+2.3) | 137.5 (-13.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -13.4 (+2.6) | 134.5 (-10.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -13.2 (+2.8) | 136.7 (-12.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -13.6 (+2.4) | 137.6 (-13.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MCN 62 – 61 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 19-3 | 13-9 |
| Home | 14-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-5 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#66) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#67) | -0.53 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#69) | -0.35 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#38) | 0.488 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 34.1% |
Game Analysis
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