Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -700 AMCC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -13.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -12.4 (-5.4) | 139.6 (+1.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -8.9 (-1.9) | 137.2 (+3.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -12.8 (-5.8) | 139.3 (+1.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -12.6 (-5.6) | 140.9 (+0.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MCN 62 – 61 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 14-4 |
| Home | 18-0 | 13-2 |
| Away | 11-3 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#76) | -2.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#59) | -0.41 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#43) | -0.56 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#53) | 0.481 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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