Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC +360 MCN -470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +16 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -5.4 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -4.4 (-11.6) | 134.7 (-12.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -4.8 (-11.2) | 135.0 (-13.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -3.9 (-12.1) | 132.2 (-10.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -4.1 (-11.9) | 133.8 (-11.8) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MCN 62 – 61 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 19-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-0 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#155) | 9.1 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#191) | 1.46 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#157) | 2.00 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#181) | 0.582 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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