Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MVSU +225 FAMU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +11 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -7.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -6.0 (-5.0) | 133.7 (+17.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -6.7 (-4.3) | 133.6 (+17.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -6.3 (-4.7) | 131.9 (+19.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -6.3 (-4.7) | 132.0 (+19.0) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | FAMU 62 – 48 MVSU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | FAMU 83 – 53 MVSU |
| Jan 16, 2023 | FAMU 60 – 59 MVSU |
| Jan 18, 2022 | FAMU 78 – 70 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-30 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 4-14 |
| Home | 1-8 | 4-8 |
| Away | 0-22 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 55.5 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -24.2 (#363) | -13.3 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.39 (#362) | -2.36 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.25 (#363) | -2.91 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#343) | 0.429 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.44 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 25.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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