Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -110 MVSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +1 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -4.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MVSU -0.3 (+1.3) | 128.7 (-9.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -2.0 (-1.0) | 125.9 (-6.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MVSU -0.1 (+1.1) | 125.2 (-6.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -0.4 (+0.6) | 128.3 (-9.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | FAMU 62 – 48 MVSU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | FAMU 83 – 53 MVSU |
| Jan 23, 2024 | FAMU 81 – 70 MVSU |
| Jan 18, 2022 | FAMU 78 – 70 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-15 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.2 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -16.2 (#357) | -16.4 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.26 (#361) | -2.60 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.75 (#362) | -3.22 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#352) | 0.376 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.