Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -1400 MVSU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +30 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -18.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -14.2 (+15.8) | 139.8 (-3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -16.3 (+13.7) | 137.1 (-1.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -15.6 (+14.4) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -14.3 (+15.7) | 139.8 (-3.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | FAMU 62 – 48 MVSU |
| Jan 23, 2024 | FAMU 81 – 70 MVSU |
| Jan 16, 2023 | FAMU 60 – 59 MVSU |
| Jan 18, 2022 | FAMU 78 – 70 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-17 |
| Home | 9-3 | 2-9 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 82.3 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#354) | -29.6 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#342) | -4.77 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#345) | -6.50 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#328) | 0.373 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 26.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 40.3% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 60.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 59.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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