Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | KU -400 CIN +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | KU -4.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -5.1 (-0.1) | 142.7 (+0.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.1 (+0.9) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -4.9 (+0.1) | 145.4 (-2.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -5.2 (-0.2) | 143.0 (-0.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CIN 84 – 68 KU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | KU 54 – 40 CIN |
| Mar 14, 2024 | CIN 72 – 52 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 16-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#21) | 13.4 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#8) | 1.68 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#9) | 2.59 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#10) | 0.576 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.