Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | KU -520 CIN +390 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +16 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -11.7 (-27.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -10.8 (-26.8) | 140.9 (+11.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -10.4 (-26.4) | 134.7 (+17.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -10.5 (-26.5) | 135.2 (+16.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -10.4 (-26.4) | 137.7 (+14.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2025 | KU 54 – 40 CIN |
| Mar 14, 2024 | CIN 72 – 52 KU |
| Jan 23, 2024 | KU 74 – 69 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 19.8 (#15) | 11.0 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#11) | 1.46 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.46 (#14) | 2.25 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#4) | 0.534 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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