Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | KU +120 CIN -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +20 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -2.8 (-22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.0 (-22.0) | 142.4 (-18.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.7 (-23.7) | 141.7 (-17.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.0 (-23.0) | 143.3 (-19.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -3.0 (-23.0) | 143.8 (-19.8) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CIN 84 – 68 KU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | KU 54 – 40 CIN |
| Jan 23, 2024 | KU 74 – 69 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 16-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#17) | 12.7 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#11) | 1.45 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#15) | 1.90 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#13) | 0.554 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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